Wednesday, September 01, 2004
Why the RNC in New York?
I am seriously puzzled to why the Republicans decided to hold their National Convention in New York. So I tried to analyze their political move in a logical fashion:
Advantages:
1) As I hinted in my previous post, the Republicans are trying to capitalize on the homeland security / presidential achievements by holding their convention in the city where the attacks of 9/11 occurred, and this only a few days before the 3rd anniversary of the events.
Disadvantages:
1) In New York, Anti-Bush protesters, anti-war activists and liberals of all kinds are very active and will attempt to disrupt the RNC as much as possible and create negative publicity for the Bush camp by piggy-back riding the intense media coverage currently focused on New York.
2) New York is a Democrat stronghold, where the Republicans can not hope to make any progress, and even if they do, it won’t be enough to win the state. Swing states (like Florida) is where the battle is fought the hardest, because these states will decide the outcome of the next election. Holding the RNC in a swing state would have been a logical way of recruiting new supporters.
Really, why New York? At least, staging the RNC in a Republican stronghold would have avoided a lot of headaches to the party’s organizers. That is exactly what the Democrats did, by holding their convention in Boston, where they were able to demonstrate the support they enjoy.
It seems to me that the Republicans are taking too much of a large gamble, when comparing the advantages and disadvantages. It really is hard to say which side would outweigh the other.
Unless there is something else I am missing; in the advantages side. And I think I got it. Disadvantage 1 could very well end-up reinforcing the popular support the Republicans enjoy. Live on TV, 24 hours a day, the regular Joe and Jane can personally witness the fervent attacks orchestrated by New Yorkers (these damn Yankees) against Bush, the poor president, who did everything in his power to protect and support these same Yankees. And this is how they repay him? This is how those rich, educated, artsi-fartsy and now ungrateful bastards treat our president? You think I’ll vote for the causes that these anti-nationalist protesters/punks/Yankees support? Definitely not.
This is what might be going on through the head of the regular American right now. The RNC in New York might be winning the Republicans some badly needed votes in the swing states. And don’t underestimate the organizers of the Republican Party, they are not like W; they must been pretty damn sure of what they were doing before bringing the whole party to New York.
I just hope I am wrong in my analysis.
BTW, don’t hesitate to post comments if you disagree (or agree) with me.
Advantages:
1) As I hinted in my previous post, the Republicans are trying to capitalize on the homeland security / presidential achievements by holding their convention in the city where the attacks of 9/11 occurred, and this only a few days before the 3rd anniversary of the events.
Disadvantages:
1) In New York, Anti-Bush protesters, anti-war activists and liberals of all kinds are very active and will attempt to disrupt the RNC as much as possible and create negative publicity for the Bush camp by piggy-back riding the intense media coverage currently focused on New York.
2) New York is a Democrat stronghold, where the Republicans can not hope to make any progress, and even if they do, it won’t be enough to win the state. Swing states (like Florida) is where the battle is fought the hardest, because these states will decide the outcome of the next election. Holding the RNC in a swing state would have been a logical way of recruiting new supporters.
Really, why New York? At least, staging the RNC in a Republican stronghold would have avoided a lot of headaches to the party’s organizers. That is exactly what the Democrats did, by holding their convention in Boston, where they were able to demonstrate the support they enjoy.
It seems to me that the Republicans are taking too much of a large gamble, when comparing the advantages and disadvantages. It really is hard to say which side would outweigh the other.
Unless there is something else I am missing; in the advantages side. And I think I got it. Disadvantage 1 could very well end-up reinforcing the popular support the Republicans enjoy. Live on TV, 24 hours a day, the regular Joe and Jane can personally witness the fervent attacks orchestrated by New Yorkers (these damn Yankees) against Bush, the poor president, who did everything in his power to protect and support these same Yankees. And this is how they repay him? This is how those rich, educated, artsi-fartsy and now ungrateful bastards treat our president? You think I’ll vote for the causes that these anti-nationalist protesters/punks/Yankees support? Definitely not.
This is what might be going on through the head of the regular American right now. The RNC in New York might be winning the Republicans some badly needed votes in the swing states. And don’t underestimate the organizers of the Republican Party, they are not like W; they must been pretty damn sure of what they were doing before bringing the whole party to New York.
I just hope I am wrong in my analysis.
BTW, don’t hesitate to post comments if you disagree (or agree) with me.
